Archive for December, 2009

31
Dec
09

Big Sky Conference predictions –The Men

This is going to be a great year for the Big Sky basketball fan and a very rough year for Big Sky coaches. The men’s side of the conference is the strongest I have seen it in a very long time. Who ever finishes second or third may well have won the league in years past. For fans this will mean some very exiting basketball over the next 2 and half month. This will also make for some very frustrated coaches who have put together what they may have thought to be a pretty good team only to see it chewed up during the conference season. If you are a coach on the hot seat, it could be bad news. A team that might have finished 9-7 last year will be lucky to finish 5-11 this year.

First let’s look the preseason polls:

Coaches’ Poll Media Poll
1 Weber State 1 Weber State
2 Montana 2 Montana
3 Idaho State 3 Portland State
4 Portland State 4 Idaho State
5 Montana State 5 Montana State
6 Northern Colorado 6 Northern Colorado
7 Northern Arizona 7 Northern Arizona
8 Eastern Washington 8 Eastern Washington
9 Sacramento State 9 Sacramento State

Here is where the RPI would rank the team as of 12-31-09

(and before checks it, their win/loss number do not add up)

RPI Conf Rank Team Projected Record
73 1 Northern Colorado 13-3
86 2 Montana 12-4
120 3 Montana State 11-5
149 4 Weber State 10-6
153 5 Portland State 9-7
148 6 Northern Arizona 9-7
221 7 Idaho State 3-13
289 8 Sacramento State 2-14
293 9 Eastern Washington 1-15

Also note that Realtime RPI is projecting that Weber State, Idaho State and Northern Colorado are showing a great deal of improvement as of late.  Montana State is a team that they think is showing some improvement while Sac. State and Northern Arizona are teams that seem to be going the other direction.

Continue reading ‘Big Sky Conference predictions –The Men’

31
Dec
09

Mslacat’s theorem on Conference play:

Mslacat’s Theorem #I

In conference coaches count less and player talent counts more:

Over the past 30 or so years I have always noticed that certain teams every year do not do as nearly well in conference play as they do in non-conference. This seems to affect a certain type of team more than any other. That type of team is a “system team”, meaning a team that relies running a particular offensive system to a tee to be successful. This could be the newest coaching trend or a gimmicky offence design to hide a team’s weakness. In the non-conference they seem to work much better than in conference for the simple reasons the teams are much less familiar with each other, in conference the coaches know each other, they know what the other coaches like to run and they have a game plan to beat that coach even before conference starts. By the time the second half of the conference comes around and the league coaches have seen all the players and new wrinkles the other coaches have in their system the league coaches really gets tunes in to each other. This is why some teams will also do much better in the first half of the season and then tank it the second half. Essentially you could also say that the coaches tend to cancel each other out and talent takes over.

Teams who have the talent in the non-conference have the same talent in the conference. Talent is the one thing that coaches can not affect once the season begins, you have what you have and in the end with the coaches matching each other in this chess match that is what rises to the surface.

Continue reading ‘Mslacat’s theorem on Conference play:’

30
Dec
09

Odds and Ends 12/30/09

It has been quite a while since I have done an Odds and Ends post but I have a handful of thing that are worth mentioning but maybe not in a full post by themselves.

  • In the in case you missed it category Helena Capital’s Matt Miller committed to Boise State a couple day’s ago. Sorry nothing from me at the time but I had a few balls in the air, but this sounds like a great choice by Mr. Miller. As a matter of fact I think Arizona State and Stanford would also have been great choices as well. Here is a quote Miller gave to Rick Kimbrel of Blue-Turf.com (part of the Rivals.com network).

“When I went down to Boise State for my visit,” Miller said. “I just felt so comfortable and thinking about it I felt that at Boise I would be the most happy for the next couple of years of my life.

“Boise State is a great football team,” Miller said. “They are a top 10 football team year in and year out. That is very enticing to me.

“The school as well is on the rise academically,” Miller said. “I kind of want to get into wildlife biology and ultimately become a college coach so I felt at Boise State, I could accomplish all those goals.

Continue reading ‘Odds and Ends 12/30/09’

30
Dec
09

Conference Primer: Bobcat Women

Bobcat Women Pre-Conference Look

Pre-Season Polls

Coaches Poll: #3
Media Poll: #3

Current Rankings

Accumulative RPI Rank (national): #223
Accumulative RPI Rank (conference): #5
Projected RPI conference record: 9-7

Non Conference Record

Home: 4-3
Away: 3-3
Neutral: 0-0
Total: 7-6

Conference Record

Home: 0-0
Away: 0-0
Neutral: 0-0
Total: 0-0

Non-Conference games remaining 0

Best non-conference Win: UC Riverside
Worse non-conference Loss: Denver

Continue reading ‘Conference Primer: Bobcat Women’

30
Dec
09

Conference Primer: Lady Griz

Lady Griz Pre-Conference Look

Pre-Season Polls

Coaches Poll: #2
Media Poll: #2

Current Rankings

Accumulative RPI Rank (national): #233
Accumulative RPI Rank (conference): #6
Projected RPI conference record: 9-7

Non Conference Record

Home: 5-1
Away: 0-4
Neutral: 0-2
Total: 5-7

Conference Record

Home: 0-0
Away: 0-0
Neutral: 0-0
Total: 0-0

Non-Conference games remaining: 0

Best non-conference Win: Denver
Worse non-conference Loss: St. Louis

Continue reading ‘Conference Primer: Lady Griz’

30
Dec
09

Conference Primer: Grizzly Men

Grizzly Men Pre-Conference Look

Pre-Season Polls

Coaches Poll: #2
Media Poll: #2

Current Rankings

Accumulative RPI Rank (national): #83
Accumulative RPI Rank (conference): #1
Projected RPI conference record: 13-3

Non Conference record

Home: 8-1
Away: 2-3
Neutral: 0-0
Total: 10-4

Conference Record

Home: 1-1
Away: 0-0
Neutral: 0-0
Total: 1-1

Non-Conference games remaining: 0

Best non-conference Win: Oregon
Worse nonconference Loss: Denver

Continue reading ‘Conference Primer: Grizzly Men’

30
Dec
09

Conference Primer: Bobcat men

Bobcat Men Pre-Conference Look

Pre-Season Polls

Coaches Poll: 5th
Media Poll: 5th

Current Rankings

Accumulative RPI Rank (national): #116
Accumulative RPI Rank (conference): #3
Projected RPI conference record: 11-5

Non Conference Record

Home: 3-1
Away: 2-3
Neutral: 0-0
Total: 5-4

Conference Record:

Home: 2-0
Away: 0-0
Neutral: 0-0
Total: 2-0

Continue reading ‘Conference Primer: Bobcat men’

29
Dec
09

Recruiting Lists update

Yes I have finally gotten around to updating the recruiting list again.  I am sorry but the table function in WordPress can be a royal pain in the butt to edit one it has been created.  Fortunately I have found Microsoft’s Windows Live writer which makes the whole process a lot easier and less time consuming to edit.  Unfortunately it does not help me with my recruiting spreadsheet/tables already created, I have to continue to used WordPress to edit those.  Next years Recruiting lists though should be a breeze to update once I create them.

Continue reading ‘Recruiting Lists update’

29
Dec
09

Prospect update: Reid vs. Weisner


In an interesting match last night #3 ranked (Washington 2A) Walla Walla high school matched up with #3 ranked (Idaho 4A) Post Falls in the opening game of the North Idaho Invitational in Coeur d’Alene Idaho. The game feature Post Fall star and future Bobcat Shawn Reid as well as Walla Walla stars Michael Weisner (Griz signee) and Gary Winston (Idaho signee). The game was a barn burner in which Post Falls pulled out a 84 – 75 win in over time.

Walla Walla came out strong in the first quarter, while Post Falls struggled to find it’s shot, to take a slight lead which they held most of the game. Post Falls found it shot in the third and fourth quarter and fought back to tie the game by the end of regulation. I believe 7 points was the biggest lead any team had until the over time period. In the over time period Post Falls and Reid took over the game and outscored Walla Walla 13 -4 for the victory.

Continue reading ‘Prospect update: Reid vs. Weisner’

28
Dec
09

Big Sky RPI: 12-28-09 & Looking forward

Not to beat a dead horse but this has been a banner year for the Big Sky Conference teams and the conference in general. The men’s teams have had their best performance in their pre-conference schedule in 10-15 years. Right now depending on what poll you look at the Big Sky conference is ranked between 15-17th among all conferences. That is 5-10 places higher than where they have been in the recent past. Fullerton should enjoy the ranking while it last because as soon as conference games starts that ranking should start dropping.

Right now the Big Sky Conference is rated higher than Big West Conference, Sun Belt Conference, Southern Conference, Ivy League, and Southland Conference to name a few.

Going into league just about everyone is projecting Montana and N. Colorado as the top team, with Eastern Washington and Sac. State as bottom of the league. Montana State is holding steady as the number 3 team, but Weber State is coming on strong. Portland State on the other hand seems to be falling. Idaho State I think is a sleeper team. They have played a top 50 schedule and are loaded with talent.

On the women’s side of the conference things seem to be falling into line with a 22 ranking. The thing that is different is that the Lady Griz are no where to be seem at the top of the RPI rankings The RPI rankings seems to be suggesting that Selvig’s team may not even make the conference tournament. The thing though to remember about Selvig’s teams is that he builds then first and foremost for conference play. Selvig does not always recruit the fastest players,- which would help him out of conference- but goes for talent, which helps him over power Big Sky schools. Look for the Lady Griz to bounce back the question how far can they?

Continue reading ‘Big Sky RPI: 12-28-09 & Looking forward’




December 2009
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  • CHAMPIONSHIPS November 18, 2014
    This past weekend we opened up at Boise State, my Alma Mater, where they had an Alumni Reunion and recognized our 1993-94 Big Sky Champion Team who was also nationally ranked. What an amazing season that was, and what an fantastic experience to be a part of. Although our Bobcats didn't win that night, it was a nice distraction to have dinner after the g […]
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  • To whom this may concern... August 6, 2010
    I am talking to you Dan Muscatell. I am talking to all of you on twitter begging me for more blog. I know you missed me, little did I know that you were craving more blog. I put it on the to-do list and then moved it straight to the top.Montana Coaches Association - 2010 ClinicThis event gets better every year for me. It's not that the speakers are any […]
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  • Stock Watch: Week One November 18, 2009
    I’m back! Now that the season has started it’s time to fire TW Courtside back up for another season. Things look a whole lot different in the Big Sky this year, thanks to graduation. This will be an exciting year!This past week we finally got a chance to see all of the Big Sky teams in action. Albeit, it is always tough to gauge teams at this point because m […]
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